Why New Zealand’s ‘flexible’ labour market fails on youth wages

blonde woman standing near the checkout counter
Photo by Tom Tillhub on Pexels.com

Published in The Post (Wellington), 9 June 2026

When The New Zealand Initiative set out 235 recommendations for the next government last month, the one this paper chose for its headline was the proposal to pay younger workers less. The news sense was sound, because it is the recommendation that sounds least fair.

Paying a seventeen-year-old below the adult rate for what looks like the same work offends a plain sense of equal treatment. The Council of Trade Unions objected strongly, presenting it as a return to an older, harsher labour market, and on the face of it you can see why.

The objection holds only if the wage is the entire amount the young worker receives. It is not. What a first job pays in cash is the smaller half of the bargain.

The larger half is harder to see and no less real: how to show up on time, how to calm an angry customer, the small pride of being trusted with the till and the reference that opens the next door. Seen from this angle, the young worker is paid twice over, once in money now and once later in everything the job taught.

Germany makes that second, hidden wage explicit. A seventeen-year-old there begins on a first-year training allowance of about €724 a month. On a 40-hour week that works out at about €4.20 an hour, barely a third of the adult minimum.

Apprenticeship wages there are not treated as ordinary low-wage work because they are covered by regulated training contracts. The apprentice splits the week between the workshop and a vocational school. The law forbids the firm from using the apprentice as cheap general labour, so they cannot be parked on a till or sent on errands. A chamber of commerce, not their boss, sets and marks the final exam, and they leave with a qualification employers across the country recognise.

The cost of training them falls on the employer, and it is not small. The German Federal Institute for Vocational Education puts it at roughly 26,000 euros a year, against about 18,000 euros in useful work. The employer deliberately swallows the eight-thousand-euro gap. Their low wage measures their share of that bargain, not the worth of their work.

I have spent years telling New Zealanders their labour market beats Europe’s, and on most counts, I still believe it. The continental rigidity that put so many young Spaniards and Italians out of work never took hold here. On youth wages, though, we are the rigid ones.

Yes, New Zealand does set lower rates for the young, at least on paper. A starting-out wage and a training wage sit at 80 percent of the adult minimum. But the eligibility rules are a thicket barely two percent of employers bother with, and for a sixteen-year-old, the lower rate lapses after six months in any case.

So, the wage that binds is the adult minimum, now $23.95 an hour, and it falls the same on a school leaver on the first morning as on a thirty-year-old with a decade of experience. For most workers, that floor sits beneath a market paying more.

For a teenager with no work record, it is the market itself, the going rate and the ceiling at once. Push the floor high enough and the risk falls first on the youngest and least proven — the ones an employer was already reluctant to gamble on.

Faced with paying a school leaver almost what a proven adult costs, the employer hires the adult. The cost shows up in the figures: about one in seven New Zealanders aged fifteen to twenty-four in the labour force are out of work, and teenagers fare worse again.

The ordinary job, not the apprenticeship, is where this gets harder. The German firm must train its apprentice and is inspected on it; a New Zealand cafe is held to nothing of the kind. A good employer’s checkout job teaches a great deal. A bad one teaches a teenager to stand still for four hours, pays them a discount and certifies nothing.

So the case for lower youth wages is strongest where the learning is real. Where it is only promised, it gets shakier, and we should admit that rather than pretend the training looks after itself. It usually does not.

An incoming government might be tempted to reach for a cheaper youth rate and leave it there. Better to tie the discount to the learning. A wage beneath the adult floor is defensible, even generous, when it buys a qualification or real training. Yet take the training away and you are simply paying a teenager less.

New Zealand has spent decades treating vocational training as the path for those who could not manage university. It is a snobbery that has cost us skilled hands we now badly need. A youth wage built around apprenticeship would start to undo that and do more for a school leaver than another forty cents an hour they cannot earn.

I understand why the first instinct about lower youth minimum wages is one of fairness. But the fairness points the other way. The wage that looks unfair to the sixteen-year-old is the one that is fair to the twenty-six-year-old that sixteen-year-old becomes.

New Zealand can pay for that worker at the start, in a wage that looks too low until you see what comes attached to it. Or it can keep paying for that absence later, in the long tail of the first job that never happened.