Business Spectator

Returning to old European rivalries

Europeans may one day wake up in an environment of revived national rivalries, new political extremism and a continent without the open borders they once took for granted. This could be a tragedy even worse than the economic turmoil the continent is experiencing at the moment.

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Business Spectator

In search of a Greek hero

To escape from its current mess, Greece does not need more Sisyphus work. It needs someone to tackle the Herculean task of cutting the country loose from Europe’s monetary union.

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Business Spectator

A Ponzi by any other name

Draghi’s central bank thwarts any attempts at economic reform by taking yields pressure off periphery governments. It keeps a terminal monetary union on life support without curing its many diseases. It creates vast amounts of money which one day may well create inflation outside asset markets, where it is already underway. And it is an imaginative monetary scheme that keeps on giving as long as the next shot of monetary stimulus is in sight – but not a single day longer.

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Business Spectator

An EU fix stuck at German denial

Berlin is only focussing on the fiscal crisis since it does not want to change its own ways. But as long as the Germans are unwilling to accept that they are part of the problem they cannot offer workable solutions to others.

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Business Spectator

Hallmarks of an EU power play

The tragedy of the European crisis is not that it was caused by striving for too much economic efficiency. The real tragedy is that it could have been predicted by public choice theory

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Business Spectator

Paying for Europe’s wishful thinking

Europe has run out of easy solutions to its many simultaneous crises. When it runs out of money to even buy itself more time to gloss over the symptoms of a dysfunctional monetary union, perhaps European leaders will finally start tackling the underlying problems. Time has become unaffordable

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Business Spectator

Why Merkozy is destined to fail

Whoever believed that the never-ending eurozone crisis had been solved during the holiday break would have been surprised by the difficult French bond auction last week, Italian yields once again shooting above the crucial 7 per cent mark, and renewed speculation about a Greek default.

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Business Spectator

Testing the RBA’s DNA

Both the Bank of England and the German Bundesbank enjoy formal independence, but this independence looks and feels very different in practice. One can be free of all vices without having a single virtue. In the same way, central banks can be formally independent without adding to economic and financial stability.

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Business Spectator

A wild forecast for Euro pain

In a more optimistic scenario, European politicians would realise that the euro cannot be saved and stopped pretending otherwise. But perhaps it is already too late for such naïve Christmas wishes.

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Business Spectator

A British pawn in Europe’s game

Perhaps it is dawning on Cameron that he had been moved like a pawn on a chessboard by his continental friends. His insistence to act in Britain’s national interest mainly served to promote the interests of France and Germany. Power politics does not get more ironic than this.

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